Knife violence in London: Sadiq Khan’s master plan fails as shocking new statistics are revealed | United Kingdom | New

Often crime rates can be reduced with deterrents – simply the threat of being caught. Mr Hedges cited traffic cameras as an example of getting people to obey speed limits. But when the crime is unlikely to be punished – for example, in the case of shoplifting – the nature of the behavior changes accordingly.

The ex-copper explained: “If you’re going to do something wrong, you have your own personal risk rating of how risky you want your behavior to be. But there will be some kind of evaluation of your chances of being taken.

“And if you’re thinking, ‘I haven’t seen a police officer in the last two weeks,’ then if I’m walking down the street today, doing something wrong, the chances of me getting caught are pretty low. .

“There’s a lot of talk about low detection and prosecution rates, all of which leads people to become more confident that they won’t be discovered – and therefore they’ll get away with whatever they want to do.”

While each of these deaths is tragic, it only reveals a fraction of the overall problem.

ONS data shows that in the first three months of the year, assaults involving injury or intent to harm actually increased to 120% of what they were at the same time of year last (965 against 806). Murder attempts decreased slightly from 13 to 11.

But threats to kill also increased, from 175 to 226 comparing the two periods. In the first half of 2022, 1,223 people in London were caught with a blade, compared to 1,415 from January to June last year, a reduction of just 14%.

Those figures suggest the extra £140m Mr Khan has invested in the Met has had a limited impact on the wave of violence sweeping through the capital.

Although a large proportion of these incidents can reasonably be attributed to gang-related violence, a greater number of incidents do not seem to match the trend.

On July 6, 57-year-old Khurram Butt was stabbed to death while on a busy street. Khalid Khan, 49, then reportedly surrendered to police.