Not Understanding Crime Stats – Shaw Local

In his list of priorities on his campaign website, Keith Pekau, mayor of Orland Park and congressional candidate, puts crime at the forefront, saying it has reached record levels in northeastern Illinois. . “Suburban families are experiencing a frightening increase in crime in our once peaceful communities.”

I looked at indexed crime rates for Chicago and Cook, DuPage, and McHenry counties from 2015 to 2020 (2021 data not yet available). Index crimes are the eight crimes that the FBI combines to produce its crime index. It includes four violent crimes (intentional homicide, forcible rape, robbery and aggravated assault) and four property crimes (burglary, theft over $50, motor vehicle theft and arson).

I consider violent crime and property crime separately, using the Illinois State Police Uniform Crime Reports (

Crime has not increased in Chicago and surrounding suburbs.

Property crimes decreased 25% in Chicago, 13% in Cook County, 4% in DuPage County and 31% in McHenry County between 2015 and 2020 (

The violent crime rate showed no significant change in any of them (/

It seems inconceivable that Pekau does not know these facts since crime is his main problem. I wonder if his tirades about skyrocketing crime aren’t attempts to scare people into voting for a “law and order” Republican. Republican leaders have made the alleged spike in crime a major issue.

In both cases, Pekau put politics before people. It ignores or downplays issues that will truly make huge differences in people’s lives, such as reproductive rights, gun safety, health care, racial and LGBTQ justice, voting rights, and global warming. climatic.

Darold Barnum

Oak Park